Demand Signal Analysis

Detect bullwhip distortions in customer demand by anchoring to publicly available OEM aircraft build rates. Select a program and LTA to analyze, then run the SIOP agent.

Select LTA to Analyze
No LTAs in this program category.
Anchors customer demand against public OEM build rates.
No AI API call — pure signal math. Results in <1 second.
🛩 OEM Ground Truth
Boeing 737 MAX
B737MAX · CFM LEAP-1B
38 aircraft / month
● Stable
Weekly rate (derived) 8.77 aircraft/wk
Engines/aircraft 2 × CFM LEAP-1B
Engine OEM CFM International
Rate trend Ramp to 42/mo targeted Q4 2026
Rate as of 2026-04-01
Rate History
12-Week Demand vs. OEM Baseline —
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Peak Demand
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Trough
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OEM Baseline
⚙ How the SIOP Agent Works
1 Anchor to OEM rate. Load Boeing/Airbus/Lockheed/Gulfstream build rates as ground truth — independent of Tier-1 customer signals.
2 Derive weekly baseline. Calculate expected supplier demand from monthly build rate → weekly aircraft → engines → components.
3 Detect amplification. Flag weeks where demand deviates ±50%+ from baseline. Score the amplification ratio (CV ratio).
4 Identify swing cycles. A spike followed by a correction trough = 1 bullwhip cycle. 2+ cycles = confirmed pattern.
5 Recommend action. Hold production, expedite, or absorb — based on OEM-derived true demand, not noisy Tier-1 signal.
SIOP Agent · Demand Signal Analysis · GM Command Center